Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 90.177244 100.493154 110.982584 122.416130 134.497812 146.856497 160.425822
2025-08-17 72.850408 87.664094 103.351389 121.077193 140.431673 160.815244 183.799551
2025-08-24 63.140645 80.522771 99.488273 121.465470 145.995465 172.320635 202.502491
2025-08-31 54.657362 73.672646 95.005807 120.291560 149.057678 180.422800 216.878633
2025-09-07 49.295352 69.775855 93.312780 121.742273 154.589636 190.858621 233.465731
2025-09-14 45.019615 66.721969 92.223093 123.549761 160.237480 201.186264 249.725039
2025-09-21 39.949337 62.257347 89.101302 122.662067 162.510533 207.468862 261.233520
2025-09-28 34.778715 57.243692 84.970527 120.269718 162.767812 211.229867 269.686891
2025-10-05 33.283393 56.837637 86.400610 124.480008 170.729049 223.820041 288.201843
2025-10-12 31.226668 55.511910 86.546716 127.016445 176.616918 233.943691 303.837779
2025-10-19 28.044761 52.416610 84.257121 126.391843 178.586435 239.388944 313.980903
2025-10-26 25.147940 49.495802 82.022855 125.692875 180.349431 244.500333 323.661028
2025-11-02 22.991144 47.511358 80.951564 126.436167 183.885438 251.758926 335.938143
2025-11-09 20.468969 44.790499 78.755943 125.633712 185.439990 256.605048 345.349257
2025-11-16 18.557555 42.838188 77.489827 125.939560 188.296666 262.957052 356.496278
2025-11-23 16.350048 40.225750 75.171008 124.755504 189.200761 266.888323 364.718397
2025-11-30 15.133113 39.118407 74.903194 126.234447 193.427061 274.824696 377.701645
2025-12-07 14.117549 38.262328 74.939505 128.080193 198.093092 283.282717 391.304803
2025-12-14 12.447432 36.117818 72.998163 127.173865 199.179381 287.314746 399.560387
2025-12-21 10.555902 33.363662 70.013440 124.731184 198.199658 288.738117 404.616292
2025-12-28 10.406190 33.851481 71.910465 129.029788 205.970862 300.991874 422.795990
2026-01-04 9.877359 33.559921 72.590299 131.618815 211.506795 310.473946 437.621384
2026-01-11 8.692695 31.849668 71.005241 130.981305 212.779889 314.626564 445.948958